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Silver vs PEC

 As we count down the last few days of this interminable campaign (and I see Erick Erickson is just wishing it was over with, I'll take that as a good sign), the Blue Team has been buoyed by math,...

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Erick Erickson and the End of the World

 Over at Redstate the leader Erick Erickson posted a remarkable musing on the election and its ultimate irrelevancy.  Not to say that he doesn't want Obama gone and Romney elected, he obviously does,...

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I'm Listening to Rush Tomorrow

 Just a brief diary.  It is going to be such a pleasure listening to Rush tomorrow.  I can't wait to hear how he spins this crushing loss.  In fact I'm going to listen to him for the next week and read...

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The Demise of the Southern Strategy

 Barack Obama’s narrow but solid reelection last night in an extremely challenging environment for an incumbent is going to have a tremendous impact on the Republican Party and its basic strategy for...

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America Wants the "Welfare State"

 The Romney campaign was based on a basic lie, that the majority of Americans work, while 47% are moochers living off the "Welfare State".  It stands to reason that given the choice, hardworking...

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Obamacare Threatens the Republican Party

The House Republicans have shut down the government over Obamacare, and are  now threatening to have the US default on its debt by refusing to raise the debt ceiling.  The political system still does...

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Hilary's Agenda 2016

 I take it as a given that Hilary will run and she will win the nomination and the general and will be the next President.  But what will she run on and what will she actually do?  She is a liberal,...

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Obama's Low Approval

  With the midterm elections upon us, the Democrats running in competitive races have had one missing partner, President Obama.  He has remained off the campaign trails, though he has been raising...

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Obama's Nuclear Weapon

 In roughly three months President Obama is going to destroy the Republican Party as a national institution (it will be reduced to its Southern and Western rump).  It all comes down to the trap he has...

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A Close Read of the IPCC 2014 Synthesis Report

 The recent announcement of even tighter CO2 emission standards for power plants by Obama has been met with outrage by the usual suspects.  This is a necessary action as the Republicans have decided to...

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Gaming Out the Demographics of 2016

 My own view of American politics is that almost all voters have a natural lean, there are very few true "moderates" who genuinely pick a President based on the campaign and personal factors of the...

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The Awesome Clusterf*** That Was Iraq

 It's been fascinating to watch the return of the neo-cons as their deranged thinking continues to dominate Republican foreign policy.  Rand Paul was the only Republican that was williing to confront...

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The Collapse of the Republicans

 As the Republican primary process continues another month with Donald Trump in the lead, followed by Ben Carson, and then a motley crew of politicians of limited achievement and startling incoherence,...

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GOP: Help Us Marco Rubio, You're Our Only Hope

 With less than 90 days to the Iowa Caucus, the political field on the Republican side remains crowded and murky.  But if you look more closely, it is actually starting to become defined.  And the one...

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GOP IS GETTING TRUMPED

  The entire GOP is having a massive ISIS freakout and is now doing its utmost to protect America from Syrian refugees.  Obviously, much of this is purely political.  This moment could not have come at...

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Is Islam a Religion of Violence or one of Peace?

  Ever since 9/11 there has been a cottage industry among the right wing and particularly the conservative evangelicals seeking to demonstrate that Islam is inherently a violent faith incompatible with...

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Want a Dem to win 2016, Bernie Looking More Enticing

  The 2016 election is critical in several ways.  We need to stop the tax giveaway to the rich that all the GOP candidates have in mind.  We need to avoid stupid wars.  We have to reduce income...

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Trump Wins NH, GOP Loses

  With the votes still being counted Donald Trump, a man with no political experience and zero knowledge of foreign affairs or even most domestic issues, has won the Republican primary in New...

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No Fear of Trump

  It looks like Trump is going to win the GOP nomination without ever breaking a sweat.  Cruz has a very narrow appeal, and Rubio is a lightweight whose claim to being POTUS doesn’t go far beyond his...

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Why I Am Supporting Hillary

  So Hillary won a big victory tonight in SC.  Things look good for her on Tuesday, and if she wins all the big states by large margins, it would be hard to see how the primary is still a truly valid...

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Give Hillary a Break

  Crunch time in the primaries and there are a lot of strong feelings out there.  I am a liberal Democrat, and will support the Democratic nominee in November.  Currently, I haven’t decided for certain...

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The GOP Confusion on Healthcare

  Healthcare has been an issue that the GOP has not been able to grapple with going back to the debate over Medicare and Medicaid during LBJ’s Great Society program.  At the time, the conservative AMA...

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Tell Me I Shouldn't Worry

   The idea of a know-nothing bigot and blowhard with zero credentials running the most powerful nation that has ever existed is too frightening to entertain.  All along I’ve thought that Trump will...

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Why Hillary Should Win

  So like many Dems I have been worried by the recent polls showing a close general election and a few with Trump in the lead.  It boggles my mind that a majority of this country would actually vote...

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Why Is This Even Close?

  Judging by the various polling aggregators etc Clinton is still in the lead.  But I confess to being worried about the ultimate outcome.  She should be up 10 points over the narcissistic orange...

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Where to from here?

I don’t know with any certainty.  I remember in 2009, when the GOP had been wiped out and we had 60 Dem Senators there was a certain triumphalism here, many diaries contained an image of a Republican...

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Some thoughts on our loss

What a change from 8 years ago.  I remember in 2009, when the GOP had been wiped out and we had 60 Dem Senators there was a certain triumphalism here, many diaries contained an image of a Republican...

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Obama Was a Great President

  President Obama has left office and unfortunately turned over the White House to a moron.  In his eight years though, he has been among the best Presidents of the last hundred years.  The only ones...

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How is Trump a Bozo, help me count the ways

  Trump has done so many outrages since being elected POTUS, it is hard to keep track of them all.  I am trying to keep a complete list going, and my initial items are below, but I’m asking for your...

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We're Winning the Fight on Climate

  Even with the stupidity of Trump’s sort of withdrawal from the Paris Climate Accords, the actual reality on the ground has become steadily better over the last few years.  This optimistic turn of...

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Chin Up, Liberals Always Win

 In this dark era of Donald Trump, a uniquely unqualified human being to be President of the United States, it is a common feeling among liberals that they are losing the perennial struggle with...

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The Democratic Agenda for the 2020's

  Not counting any chickens, but I’m hoping we get the House back, and enough big state governors so that we undo the big gerrymanders that hurt us in 2012 to 2018.  After that, investigations and the...

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Trump Reelection Hurdle

 Donald Trump became President in 2016 after winning only 46% of the popular vote.  He lost to Hillary Clinton by 3 million votes, but due to a very favorable spread of his voters, he won narrow...

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Trump's Ceiling is 45

While the world has turned upside down this year with a global pandemic and economic depression, one thing that seems to be constant is President Trump’s base of support.  With unemployment soaring to...

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